This Is Why Stocks May Rally The Week Of February 4
Michael Kramer | Feb 04, 2019 08:23AM ET
S&P 500 Futures +2 as of 7:45AM
US 10-Year 2.70%
Dollar Index95.72
Oil$55.29.
Nikkei +46 BPS
Shanghai– Closed
Hong KongHSI +21 BPS
KOSPI -6 bps
German DAX -30BPS
UK FTSE +25 BPS
- Factory Orders
- Earnings:
- Monday PM
- Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL)
- Gilead (NASDAQ:GILD)
- Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX)
- Tuesday AM
- BP (LON:BP)
- Viacom (NASDAQ:VIA)
- Tuesday PM
- Snap (NYSE:SNAP)
- Walt Disney (NYSE:DIS)
- Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA)
- Monday PM
The South Korean KOSPI has continued to rise in recent days and is now stalling out. The index has filled the gap at 2,210, which is the level we had looked for, now it is facing a steep downtrend at that level. This will be a big test not just for Korea but the entire global equity complex.
With the RSI at overbought levels, my expectations would be for a minor retracement in the index over the coming days. But the trend in the RSI is now higher, and that would suggest the index does move higher after a slight pullback.
We can see that the Hang Seng is nearing a resistance level and is also facing a downtrend, which is it is trying to rise above. At this point the RSI suggests more gains to come longer-term. However, the RSI over the short-term is overbought and indicates the index pulls back as well.
The UK FTSE does have further to climb from its current level of 7,040 to around 7,120.
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Overall global equity markets are hitting a rough patch, and I’d expect this to play out during the next few days or perhaps the balance of the week.
h3 US Markets/h3 h3 S&P 500 (SPY (NYSE:SPY))/h3The S&P 500 still appears to have a bit further to rise and has a reasonable chance to get to around 2,800 in the coming days. The chart shows that if the index can get over 2,720, it has a clear path higher towards 2,800.
The Russell 2000 has already risen above resistance, and it has a good chance of advancing to around 1,562.
There will be plenty of continued focus on Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) this week after its fourth quarter results last week. The stock continues to rest on technical support at $1,620. A drop below that level opens a path lower to around $1475.
Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) has been slowly grinding higher with the potential to rise back to $355.
Square (NYSE:SQ) does continue to trend higher, but over the next few days, I think there may be a chance for it first to fall to back to $65.50.
BlackBerry (NYSE:BB) continues to trend higher toward $8.75.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) can likely rise back toward $333.
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ACAD) is back to the upper end of the range, and if can get through this $23 to $24 region it goes on to $27.
h3 GE/h3General Electric Company (NYSE:GE) is hitting a wall of resistance at $10.65. There is a gap to fill, and that means it likely heads back to $9.
Michael Kramer and the Clients of Mott Captial own Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Acadia
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