Tommy Humphreys | Feb 23, 2015 04:30PM ET
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note has surged 50 basis points in the past few weeks and in turn gold has fallen nearly $100/oz. The negative correlation between yields and gold has been strong for the last 6 years and this correlation has become even stronger in recent weeks.
Since the 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis, gold has held a strong inverse correlation to real 10-year yields .
Recently, the negative correlation between gold and 10-year yields has reached 90%. (bottom of chart below.)
Given the strong correlation between 10-year yields and gold, there are a couple of key yield levels to watch in the 10-year note over the coming weeks.
The recent rally in yields stopped at a logical area of resistance (~2.15%). A breakout above 2.15% would have negative implications for gold, whereas a decline back below the 2.00% yield area should set in motion the next leg higher in gold.
Via Energy and Gold.com
Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.