The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: TopBuild, Comfort Systems, Installed Building Products, Universal Forest And Select Medical

 | Dec 22, 2019 10:35PM ET

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL –December 23, 2019 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: TopBuild Corp. (NYSE:BLD) , Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE:FIX) , Installed Building Products, Inc. (NYSE:IBP) , Universal Forest Products, Inc. (NASDAQ:UFPI) and Select Medical Holdings Corporation (NYSE:SEM) .

Here are highlights from Friday’s Analyst Blog:

Real Santa Claus Rally Comes After Xmas: 5 Solid Buys

The U.S. stock market has done exceedingly well so far this year. In fact, the market’s rally has been quite impressive in recent weeks, with the broader S&P 500 climbing more than 7% from where it started the fourth quarter. Similarly, the Dow has jumped more than 5%. But just because the stock market has gained traction, it doesn’t make it a Santa Claus rally.

After all, the Santa Claus rally or the rally in prices traditionally happens in the final six days of the year. The term was first coined by market analyst Yale Hirsch in 1972 in The Stock Trader’s Almanac. During this period, the Dow has rallied 76% of the time since 1896. The average probability of prices rising in all other six-day trading periods of the year is 55%.

What’s more, both the Dow and the S&P 500 tend to produce healthy gains the year after they have recorded gains of 20%. And so far this year, the Dow is up more than 21.5%. Notably, the Dow tends to climb 75% of the time with an average gain of nearly 8.9% in the following year, when it finishes the earlier year with a gain of a minimum 20%. And when it comes to the S&P 500, the broader index tends to climb 83% of the time with an average gain of 11.2% in the following year. The S&P 500 has already posted an annual gain of 27.9% so far this year.

And why won’t the markets gain after Christmas and beyond? The USMCA trade deal to replace NAFTA, ongoing progress in U.S-China trade deal and encouraging economic data will certainly help the stock market continue its winning streak. Needless to say, investors remained unfazed by President Donald Trump’s impeachment.

The House of Representatives saw both the Democrats and Republicans united in passing an updated version of the 25-year-old NAFTA that many economists believe will eventually prove favorable for the U.S. economy.

On the trade front, the United States has said that China has agreed to increase import of commodities in 2020 and 2021 by almost $200 billion, which includes nearly $40 billion of U.S. agricultural products.

China has also agreed to protect American intellectual property rights and has assured not to manipulate its currency. What’s more, China has called off additional tariffs on U.S. goods. The United States, in the meanwhile, has agreed not to impose extra tariffs on nearly $160 billion of Chinese consumer electronics and toys that were supposed to take effect from Dec 15.

And when it comes to economic data, factory output bounced back after General Motor Company’s strike ended last month, per the Fed. Industrial production increased at a seasonally adjusted rate of 1.1% in November compared to the prior month. That marked the biggest month-over-month increase since October 2017. Now, if we exclude motor vehicles and parts, industrial production was still up 0.5% last month.

Another reading on the U.S. housing sector saw construction of new homes jump in November, a tell-tale sign of continued momentum in the housing sector. Per the Commerce Department, housing starts, a measure of home building, increased 3.2% last month from October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.365 million. Building permits show that future home construction increased 1.4% in November compared to the previous month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.482 million.

5 Stocks to Buy for the Santa Claus Rally

Courtesy of positive seasonal trend, the passage of the USMCA trade deal to replace NAFTA, US-China trade truce and improving economic data, we are lined up for a strong year-end rally.

Hence, it will be prudent to invest in five of the best stocks in the market that can make the most of this bullish trend. Such stocks have a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and a Zacks Investment Research

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