The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: G-III, Stifel, Discover, Caterpillar And Archer-Daniels

 | May 12, 2019 09:10PM ET

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL –May 13, 2019 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: G-III Apparel Group, Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII) , Stifel Financial Corp. (NYSE:SF) , Discover Financial Services (NYSE:DFS) , Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) and Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM) .

Here are highlights from Friday’s Analyst Blog:

Trade War Heats Up: Here Are the Winners & Losers

Wall Street now braces for a full-fledged trade war between two of the world’s largest economies as the United States bumped up tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese products. Unfortunately, last minute talks between U.S. trade representative Robert Lighthizer and Chinese vice premier Liu He failed to salvage months of encouraging reports hinting at substantial progress in trade talks.

Tariffs on Chinese goods have risen to 25% from 10%, and Beijing has pledged to retaliate. China’s Commerce Ministry said that “the Chinese side deeply regrets that it will have to take necessary countermeasures.” The Ministry added that “it hoped that the U.S. and the Chinese side will work together to resolve existing problems through cooperation and consultation.”

The situation might worsen as President Trump threatened to levy tariffs on all Chinese goods with America. And this means imposing tariffs on the remaining $325-billion worth of Chinese products. His moves will invariably affect more than 5,000 China-made products, including fresh and frozen foods, chemicals, textiles, metalwork, building materials, electronics and consumer goods.

But, why are the United States and China at odds? China has always faced Trump’s wrath. Trump criticized trade imbalances between the countries. Protection of intellectual property rights by the way continues to be a bone of contention for the economies. Chinese delegates said that they will deal with such issues but Trump wants “strong enforcement language’’ to police any deal. China views the trade war as U.S.’ attempt to curb its growing influence across the globe.

Nonetheless, investors are worried that the trade war might easily destabilize an already-slowing global economy and raise tensions between the superpowers regarding South China Sea and industrial espionage. The International Monetary Fund, in the meantime, warned a tariff war would pose a “threat to the global economy.” The body, which aims to ensure global financial stability, asked for a speedy resolution.

With possibilities of a heightened U.S.-China trade war looming, the stock market is bleeding. But not all stocks are facing the brunt. Let us, thus, look at the potential winners and losers from the trade war —

Two Tech Stocks That Avoid U.S.-China Trade Exposure

Technology stocks aren’t in great shape, especially, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL). Thanks to trade-related issues, Apple has trimmed its fiscal first-quarter sales forecast, citing slowdown in iPhone sales in China. Chipmakers’ revenues are also expected to be impacted if China retaliates. Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC) has cut its revenue forecast for 2019, citing lower demand from China.

But, two tech behemoths are less vulnerable to trade-related concerns — Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX). Mark Mahaney, lead technology analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said that these companies have a low exposure to China at roughly 1% to 2%.

Additionally, Facebook is less pricey when its price-earnings ratio is considered. Netflix, incidentally, keeps producing top-notch original content which should consistently drive revenues. Shares of Facebook and Netflix have advanced at a solid pace so far this year. While Facebook jumped 43.9%, Netflix soared 35.5%. Facebook currently flaunts a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) while Netflix has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). You can see Zacks Investment Research

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