The Week Ahead: Ready For Some Fedspeak?

 | May 19, 2013 12:49AM ET

Ready or not, we should expect a week dominated by an even greater focus on Fed policy. There are four reasons:

  1. The economic data calendar is very light;
  2. Earnings season has ended;
  3. Many will be heading for the exits early, anticipating a holiday weekend; and finally
  4. Bernanke testifies on the economy before the Congressional Joint Economic Committee. There will also be other Fed speeches and the minutes of the last FOMC meeting.

What should we expect?

controversial article on the flaw in David Tepper's analysis. I accept Tepper's conclusion, but I object to those who take shortcuts in economic analysis. I'll have more on this theme.

Investment Implication
I understand that most of the world is programmed for a knee-jerk response to any news about the Fed. Eventually, the actual effects – both on the economy and corporate earnings – will prove to be more important. Some think that they can anticipate and "game" the reactions of others. That might be worth trying. But shouldn't we start with a better understanding of reality?

If you get the fundamentals right, you will be a successful investor.

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