The Upgrades Keep Rolling In On These Stocks

 | Sep 29, 2020 01:24AM ET

The Theme Of 3rd Quarter Earnings? Upgrades

If the theme of the 2nd quarter earnings cycle was “better than expected” then upgrades will be the theme of the 3rd quarter. It’s only natural. If 2nd quarter earnings and the outlook for the full-year are better than consensus the progression is for the consensus to increase. And it is. The data from Factset shows the consensus estimates for S&P 500 (SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY)) earnings are rising.

The consensus for the 3rd quarter improved a full percentage point over the last week and the 4th quarter outlook is improving too. Considering the strength of the economic rebound it’s likely this trend will continue into the end of the year and carry the markets higher with it. If we get another round of economic stimulus it’ll be off to the races. Until then, investors should focus on the sectors and names getting the analysts attention.

FedEx And UPS Emerge As Multi-Story Plays

FedEx (NYSE:FDX) and United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) are emerging as a pair of multi-story plays. Not only have the two been successfully increasing pricing their businesses have been accelerated by the pandemic and more. The latest twist in this story is that both are seen as delivery mechanisms for vaccines and treatments for COVID-19. It assured we’ll get one or the other, probably both, and probably with several choices in both categories. Once they’re available there is going to be high demand and it will take a well-established global-quality specialty freight company to handle it.

Deutsche Bank is only the latest in a string of sell-side analysts to issue a flood of complimentary comments on the two. The analysts are generally more-bullish on FedEx but it is also trading at a significant discount to United Parcel Service. Both report earnings on 10/24.