Michele Schneider | Feb 23, 2021 12:07AM ET
The pandemic has brought a multitude of supply chain disruptions reaching not only into the tech space, but also into the agricultural space.
Invesco Agricultural Fund (NYSE:DBA) recently cleared major resistance at 16.87 from the 200-week moving average, plus resistance going back from highs of 2019.
Participating in the rise of agriculture has put some specific soft commodities on our watchlist, like iPath® Bloomberg Coffee Subindex Total Return(SM) ETN (NYSE:JO) and Teucrium Sugar (NYSE:CANE).
The soft commodities markets are made up of perishables such as cocoa, coffee, cotton, orange juice, and sugar, which are also some of the oldest tradable commodities still around today.
From a technical standpoint, both look to be on the verge of a major breakout with a huge amount of upside potential.
JO recently cleared its consolidation area around $35 to $37.
Looking at the weekly chart shows that JO has been through quite some choppy price action in the past 14 months with $40.70 showing a major resistance level.
Switching over to a more fundamental standpoint, coffee’s main distributor is Brazil, which has its currency Bazilian Real consolidating around highs.
An increase in the value of the Brazilian real could cause an increase in the price for coffee, as it becomes more expensive to import to the U.S.
With that said, fundamental reasons can be very speculative as they are tough to grasp a timeframe for.
The main point is if JO breaks its current resistance, it could open the price range back to highs from 2019 around $45.60.
Moving on to the sugar chart, CANE looks to be in the same boat as DBA.
It recently broke the 200-WMA and is just about to attempt a break over 2019 highs.
If this uptrend continues, and these key resistance points get cleared, the agriculture and soft commodity sectors could have a lot more room to grow.
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