The Ghost Of Crypto Anarchy
Mati Greenspan | Dec 18, 2018 07:03AM ET
Today we bid farewell to the Godfather of the Cypherpunk movement, which gave birth to bitcoin.
If you've never heard of Tim May (may he rest in peace), I refer you to his words of 1992. This short passage was so ahead of its time that it may as well have been written last Tuesday.
Quick read: The Crypto Anarchist Manifesto
Today's Highlights
Sell Off Continued
Breakouts Forming
Bounce off the Floor
Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of December 18th. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you can afford to lose.
Traditional Markets
The global sell-off in the stock markets continues. For a brief moment after the bell rang at the New York Stock Exchange, it did seem like there would be some sort of bounce, but by the end of the session, the major indices were back at the lows.
The S&P 500 index fell within a single point of its lowest rate this year (yellow line).
The negative sentiment has carried through into Asia, but it seems the Europeans are a bit more optimistic today, especially in Germany where the DAX is in green.
The feeling is that we could be getting some much-needed relief from the US Federal Reserve as they head into their two-day meeting today. So things might calm down as we approach the announcement tomorrow evening.
Breakout Time
Looking at some of the other assets out there, volatility has increased over the past few sessions. Here we can see the VIX volatility index making a move to the upside over the last few days along with the selloff in the stocks.
With that, it pays to take a look at the US Dollar, which continues to push the highs with some upward facing consolidation. This will be critical going into the Fed meeting, where they are largely expected to raise rates.
Get The News You Want
However, since the rate hike is expected to be dovish, we could just as easily see a downward breakout. Watch this space.
Gold is also looking for a breakout of the psychological barrier at $1,250 an ounce.
Ever avantgarde, crude oil has already broken below $50 yesterday, a staunch indication that the oversupply issues aren't quite behind us.
Just for good measure we'll add in the USD/JPY as well here. Especially if the dovish rate hike does indeed do the Dollar in, and Asian traders look for saftey in the Yen, we could see 112.22 give way.
Crypto Bounce Acquired
Yesterday, on the 10th anniversary of Bitcoin's all-time high, we did manage to see a strong push off the floor. Though it's not clear what exactly caused the bounce, it does appear to be a short squeeze that took out a few of the high-risk traders. I did put up a few charts on Twitter as it was happening.
Ever since the break below $5,000 we've been talking about light support at $3,500 and heavy support at $3,000, so this bounce off the $3,000 level couldn't be more picture perfect.
The biggest winner emerging from this move was EOS, which rose a total of 29% within a few short hours. Yet still nowhere near its all-time high of $23.33.
Though it is possible that we do continue downward from here, this type of movement is very encouraging for technical analysts and may just end up creating a bottom for this battered market possibly even giving way to a bullish trend in 2019. Who knows... maybe we'll get a Santa Claus Rally after all.
@MatiGreenspan
eToro, Senior Market Analyst
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