Tommy Humphreys | Sep 17, 2015 03:20PM ET
The Federal Reserve did not hike interest rates today – here are 5 key takeaways from the announcement:
The lower end of the Fed estimates has PCE inflation consistently undershooting the Fed’s 2.0% mandate through 2018 and the median estimate doesn’t reach 2.0% until 2018.
US Dollar Index Futures (15-minute)
Gold (15-minute)
Notice the range of projections on the right side range from -0.1 to 0.9 this year and then -0.1 to 2.9 next year
This is a dovish announcement with lots of dovish nuggets contained within. Regardless of how much Fed Chair Yellen tries to walk it back and pretend to be hawkish during the press conference, markets have been given a green light that the Fed is on hold for a while longer (probably at least 6 months). Low inflation continues to be a challenge and with China currently presenting a big question mark there seems to be a much greater threat of low inflation/deflation than there is of staying at zero for too long and creating undesirably high inflation.
This is a clear positive for risk assets such as equities, precious metals and real estate. On the other hand the US dollar should come under pressure and we should see some retracement of the recent rally in bond yields.
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