The Best 9%+ Dividends For A Bearish 2019
Brett Owens | Jan 02, 2019 05:35AM ET
Thanks to the December selloff, it’s relatively easy to find 9% yields. The stock market was a relentlessly receding tide in the fourth quarter, which is bad for “buy and hope” investors but quite helpful for income specialists like us.
Let’s look first at real estate investment trusts (REITs). Many now pay 9% – some good, some bad. The main index Vanguard Real Estate ETF (NYSE:VNQ) has only paid this much (4.9%) twice before in the past ten years:
VNQ Is Rarely This Generous
By cherry picking the lot we can find 49 stocks paying 9% or more. But we should avoid names like Government Properties Income Trust (GOV), which frequently pops up on cute recession-proof dividend lists.
Most of the company’s income comes from government entities, so it seems like a smart way to potentially tap Uncle Sam for rent checks. However, its share price is down 66% in five years. Even with the supposedly generous payout, GOV investors have the taste of stale government cheese in their mouths.
There are a few reasons GOV has been consistently crushed. First, its stated funds from operation (FFO) have been in decline. FFO per share is 24% lower today than it was five years ago.
Second, it’s likely worse, because GOV may be overstating its FFO! The firm has been accused of conveniently excluding maintenance-related capital expenditures. Can you imagine old government buildings that don’t require any maintenance?
Stay away from this sketchy situation.
Moving Beyond the Pure Landlords
When considering the 9% payers, we should look beyond the landlords collecting rent checks. These firms carry the REIT corporate structure so that they can avoid paying taxes! By doing so, they agree to dish most of their dividends to shareholders.
They are often misunderstood, hence their high payouts – and opportunities for us. For example, let’s consider Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE:ABR), which makes loans for commercial and multifamily properties between $750,000 and $5 million. This is niche banks don’t serve much these days.
Arbor is masterfully run by Founder and CEO Ivan Kaufman. Both an operator and shareholder, he is able to peer past Wall Street’s quarterly treadmill to made smart long-term decisions. Ivan has been able to find better business opportunities than slum-lording old government properties:
Get The News You Want
A Tale of Two 9%+ Payers
Contrarian 9%+ Opportunities in CEF-Land, Too
If you’re smart about your CEF (closed-end fund) purchases, you can diversify your portfolio and fortify your dividend stream. You can even buy these vehicles:
- For 9% yields or higher,
- And at discounts so that you can snare some price upside to boot!
Here’s why: CEFs (unlike their ETF and mutual fund cousins) have fixed pools of shares. Meanwhile, their prices trade up and down like stocks – which means these funds can sometimes trade at a discount to the value of their underlying assets! You can literally buy a dollar for less.
And even though stocks-at-large are looking quite precarious today, this scary environment has income seekers scared of CEFs. Many of my readers have actually asked me if they should bail on our high-paying vehicles. The financial media drumbeat is in their heads, and they’re concerned that their funds are going to keep dropping in price.
In recent years, the bad rap on bond CEFs is that they couldn’t thrive in a rising rate environment. Now, the Fed is ready to hit “pause” indefinitely (traders are pricing in only a 50/50 chance of any rate hike in 2019). Yet basic investors are selling them in a liquidation panic.
Please, don’t follow this misguided herd. Instead, let’s consider a couple of contrarian ideas with big upside potential.
The Kayne Anderson MLP Investment Fund (NYSE:KYN) pays an amazing 11% today. It holds a collection of master limited partnership (MLP) stocks. Most MLPs will kick you a K-1 tax form around your return deadline and annoy you and your accountant, but KYN gets around this by issuing you one neat 1099 (which is not nearly as messy).
Plus, when energy is out of favor, you can buy KYN for less than the value of the stocks it holds. Today, its portfolio is selling for just 94 cents on the dollar. That’s about as cheap as you’ll ever see it:
Lose the K-1 Hassle and Bank an 11% Yield (at a Discount)
Since KYN’s holdings pipe energy around, it tends to trade with oil prices. A freefall the goo has sent MLPs spiraling lower. When energy prices eventually find a bottom – probably sometime in 2019 – this will be a compelling yield plus upside play.
Finally, let’s give some turnaround credit to Aberdeen’s Asia-Pacific Income Fund (NYSE:FAX). I issued a sell recommendation for FAX in May 2018 because its NAV was heading the wrong way. Rising rates were pressuring the value of the fund’s fixed-rate bond portfolio, and those bonds weren’t paying enough for FAX to pay its dividend without price appreciation help.
Fast-forward to October and the financial winds shifted. This has helped FAX’s portfolio, which has actually increased in value as broader markets have unraveled. This shift is not yet reflected in the fund’s price, which has drifted 18% below its NAV!
FAX Trades for 82 Cents on the Dollar
FAX has paid the same $0.035 monthly dividend since 2002, which is now good for a 10.7% yield on its depressed share price. If the fund can continue paying its distribution while grinding its NAV sideways or better, it’s going to be a steal at these levels.
We’re not buying FAX or KYN just yet, however. I’ve got three more high paying plays I like even better right now with great growth potential on top of their generous current yields.
The 3 Best Bear Market Buys (with 8%+ Dividends) for 2019
With the recent market insanity you’ve probably thought about dumping – or at least reducing – your stock holdings and focus on fixed-income investments as you near and enter retirement. It sounds like a smart move, but going lean on stocks leaves you open to two big risks:
- That you’ll outlive your savings, and
- You’ll miss out on the long-term gains only the stock market can offer.
So why not blend a portfolio of 8%+ bond funds with smart stock picks that provide you with similarly high yields with upside to boot? Sure, they may “sell off” a bit if the markets pull back. But who cares. Like a savvy rich speculator, you’ll be able to step in and buy more shares when they are cheap – without having to worry about your next capital withdrawal.
Let’s take healthcare landlord Omega Healthcare Industries (NYSE:OHI). The firm’s payout is usually generous, and always reliable – yet, for whatever reason, its sometimes manic price action gives investors heartburn.
But it shouldn’t. It’s actually quite predictable. Check out the chart below, and you’ll notice:
- When the stock’s yield is high (orange line), its price is low. Investors should buy here.
- When the stock’s price is high (blue line), its yield is low. Investors should hold here and enjoy their dividend payments.
Investing is Easy: Buy When Yield (Orange Line) is High
Of course this simple timing strategy is much easier to employ if you don’t need stock prices to stay high to retire. Most investors who sell shares for income spend their days staring at every tick of the markets.
You can live better than this, generate more income and even enjoy more upside by employing our contrarian approach to the yield markets. We live off dividends alone. And we buy issues when they are out-of-favor (like right now) so that our payouts and upside are both maximized.
Plus 8% Dividends, Paid Monthly, Make Retirement Even Easier
And by the way, you can even use my “no withdrawal” strategy to make sure you’re:
- Banking 8% annual dividends,
- Enjoying additional price upside, and
- Getting paid monthly to boot!
If this interests you, I’d recommend starting with my all-star retirement portfolio. It contains 8 of the absolute best preferred stocks, REITs and CEFs out there.
If you’re scratching your head at these terms, you’re not alone. These are investments that you won’t hear about on CNBC or read about in the Wall Street Journal. Which is why we have these fantastic opportunities available in this “no yield” world.
I’ll explain more about them in a minute. I’ll also show you why my 8% eight-pack is well diversified across all types of investments and sectors, and the cash flows funding these dividends will do well no matter what happens in the broader economy or stock market.
Plus, as I hinted, relentless dividend growth means your 8% yield will be more like 10% in short order.
I’m ready to take you inside this “no-worry” retirement portfolio now. Click here and I’ll show you the 8 bargain investments inside it and give you their names, tickers, buy-under prices and much more .
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