Tesla: Has the Rally Run Its Course?
Anna Coulling | Feb 17, 2023 12:31PM ET
I’ve been meaning to take a look at Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) for a while now and am pleased to have done today, not only because of the incredible recovery in the stock price since the beginning of this year since when it has more than doubled, having sunk to a low of $101.81 at the turn of the year, but also because the rally seems to have stalled.
One reason for its surge higher since January is that since the beginning of the year, individual investors have been buying up stocks at the fastest pace on record.
An overage of $1.5bn each day has been channeled into stocks, the highest amount ever recorded, as confirmed by research firm Vanda Track. This is against the more bearish sentiment amongst the institutions. And you won’t be surprised to learn that Tesla is the favorite amongst this group, with the stock attracting almost $10bn of inflows, and if we look at the chart, we can see the volume bars reflecting this heavy buying.
From a technical perspective, this is the most interesting, which I have marked accordingly, we can see why the Tesla surge has paused.
It goes without saying the move into EVs is well underway, and Tesla is certainly one of the best-placed companies to benefit from the transition from fossil fuels to clean energy, and it is unstoppable. It is only going to accelerate in the next few years.
From a fundamental perspective, Tesla performs extremely well, outperforming a number of its peers. For example, Tesla’s debt-to-equity ratio is way better than the industry average, and the company has an Altman-Z score of 12.16 which tells us Tesla is financially healthy and at little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
Finally, the rise of specialist electric vehicle ETFs tells us there is demand from investors for this new industry and allows them to participate in this market in an indirect way. There is a number to choose from, and two such are Global X Autonomous & Electric Vehicles ETF (NASDAQ:DRIV) and KraneShares Electric Vehicles and Future Mobility Index (NYSE:KARS), where Tesla makes up almost 5% of the weighting.
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Disclosure: This post is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice and must not be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell any of the instruments mentioned.
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