Tenet Healthcare Down 60.6% YTD: Should You Buy The Dip?

 | Mar 16, 2020 09:43PM ET

Tenet Healthcare Inc. (NYSE:THC) stock is under pressure due to the coronavirus outbreak which requires hospitals to keep their elective procedures on hold to accommodate any potential surge in admissions.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and Prevention has recommended that hospital elective procedures, surgeries and non-urgent outpatient visits be postponed once the virus has started to spread through a community.

If coronavirus cases continue to rise, hospitals might experience a surge in admissions, diagnostic requests, drug prescriptions and increased need for ICU capacity and staffing.

However, cancellation in elective surgeries to accommodate coronavirus-infected patients will hurt the company’s revenues, which is already highly leveraged. Notably, Community Health Systems is the most levered of the public hospitals with a 2019 net Debt/EBITDA of 8.1x compared with 5.7x for Tenet Healthcare and 3.4x for HCA Healthcare, Inc. (NYSE:HCA) .

Moreover, it is feared that coronavirus outbreak may cause recession. Such an economic situation may lead to loss of jobs, which would mean less number of people covered by private insurance and more number of people with insurance from Government health schemes – Medicare and Medicaid. Since profitability of the Government sponsored health insurance plans is lower than that covered under employer sponsored plans, margins of the hospitals are likely to take a hit. Higher number of individuals without sufficient health insurance cover might also lead to hospitals facing the issue of bad debts from unpaid medical bills.

Year to date, shares of Tenet Healthcare have lost 60.6% compared with the industry ’s decline of 31%.