IFC Markets | Jul 14, 2016 08:52AM ET
USDA cuts world corn production and stocks outlook in US
In its monthly WASDE report for July USDA cut outlook for US corn stocks of previous crop at the end of 2015/16 to 1.701bn bushels. This is 7mln bushels less than in June report. The official estimate was below the range of 1.708-1.907 given by independent analytical agricultural agencies. The forecast of corn stocks of new crop also fell short of expectations. Will the corn prices advance?
USDA believes the world corn production in 2015/16 agricultural season is to be 959.79mln tonnes which is below the 2014/15 reading of 1013.56mln tonnes. This may lead to 15.7% decline in its global export. The main reason of lower production is drought in Brazil. USDA expects the Brazilian corn crops to fall 21.4% this season compared to 2014/15 season. The US meteorologists now forecast the drought in US in second half of July and in first half of August. This may have a negative effect on corn crops in US. US is second to none in global corn production followed by China and Brazil. The main corn importers are Japan, Mexico and South Korea.
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