Bitcoin Trading Success: When Preparation Meets Opportunity

 | Jun 23, 2020 09:43AM ET

Why screen exposure and overall experience is so necessary for the field of trading is related to the fact that the market has a high degree of variability. It takes years to have seen at least a good part of the various things the market can do. If you do not have this lengthy exposure then you will be surprised or in doubt or otherwise emotionally stimulated each time the market throws something new at you. You will automatically be triggered to an intuitive response to cope with that sort of stress. Unfortunately, since the market is counter-intuitive by nature you will make literally each time the precisely wrong decision. Success is when preparation meets opportunity.

Another factor that skews the outcome of a novice trader from a random one to a consistently losing one is, that most market players start out being underfunded. This makes accounts quickly blow up for two reasons:

  1. Position size being too big violates principles of harmonious equity curve development. To clarify, too large losses are impossible to recover from. (If you lose 50% from your account, it requires 100% profits to just be at breakeven again)
  2. The psychological factor of trading too big. In other words, if you do not care about the outcome of your trade (that would be the appropriate size of money exposure) you make rational clear decisions within a trade and follow your rules. On the other hand, if you trade too large, you get emotional when you are in a trade. You make multiple mistakes (like getting out too early, running stops, trailing stops too tight and so forth)

BTC-USDT, Monthly Chart, Channel Breakout – When?/h3