S&P 500 Index: Wrong Place For Bearish Reversal Pattern

 | Oct 04, 2021 11:16AM ET

Long-Term S&P 500 Monthly Chart.

The month of September ushered in some volatility to the stock market. The type of volatility we had not seen in quite a while.

Perhaps it will continue into October. And perhaps there is a reason.

Today, we take a look at a long-term monthly view of the S&P 500 Index.

As you can see, the S&P 500 has been in an up-trend for more than a decade. And this August, the index closed the month at its 423.6% Fibonacci extension level at (1). That closing also coincided with the underside of 11-year resistance.

The last time the S&P 500 hit a key Fibonacci extension level (161.8%), it also was testing the underside of this very same resistance. And it lead to a two-year pullback/stakeout.

The 423.6% Fib test in August was followed with a large bearish monthly candle in September at (2). Follow-through selling in October wouldn’t be a good sign.

Is this the wrong place and wrong time for this pattern in the S&P 500? Stay tuned.

Get The News You Want
Read market moving news with a personalized feed of stocks you care about.
Get The App

Chris Kimble

Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.

Sign out
Are you sure you want to sign out?
NoYes
CancelYes
Saving Changes