S&P 500 E-Mini Breaks Out of Triangle

 | Mar 21, 2024 09:54AM ET

h2 S&P Emini Pre-Open Market Analysish3 Emini Daily Chart/h3
  • The S&P Emini is getting an upside breakout of the triangle, which is a tight trading range on the daily chart.
  • The Bears are hopeful that the bull breakout will be the final flag of the March tight trading range.
  • Yesterday’s bull breakout is strong enough to get a second leg up. This increases the odds that the first reversal down will fail, and the bulls will get a second leg up.
  • The 5,300 Big Round Number is within reach and will probably get tested today or tomorrow.
  • Overall, the bears will try their best to undo the damage caused by yesterday’s bull breakout bar. They need to prevent the bulls from getting another follow-through bar and, ideally, create a bear reversal bar, closing on its low.
h2 What to Expect Today/h2
  • The Globex market has gone sideways for most of the overnight session.
  • The bulls are hopeful that today will create follow-through buying after yesterday’s upside breakout.
  • Yesterday’s rally was climactic, which increases the odds that the open will have a lot of trading range price action.
  • There is a 75% chance that today, there will be a trading range lasting two hours, beginning before the end of the second hour. There is a 50% chance that bulls will get follow-through buying on the open, followed by a trading range beginning before the end of the second hour. There is only a 25% chance of a trend from the open.
h2 Yesterday’s Emini Setups/h2