Seasonally Positive Period Leading Stock Investors Into Bull Trap
J Mark Ackerman | Dec 28, 2014 04:52AM ET
Even though stocks are currently exhibiting no bearish technical evidence whatsoever, the work that we do behind the signs is clearly now telling us that this rally through a seasonally positive period into the first week of 2015 must not be bought under any circumstances.
The rally is simply part of a transitioning process between bullish and bearish technical internals. Accordingly, our uniquely accurate timing models, our trend signal analytics, will clearly and definitively tell us exactly when the time is right to confirm the completion of the rally off the 2009 market lows and when to assume a new bearish bias in preparation for what will be an important multi-year decline in stocks.
For example, our trend models have told us very plainly that throughout the past 5 years there has only been one period where market technicals for the Nasdaq 100 Index were bearish, meaning that we should have been bearish on only one occasion in the past 5 years, and that was for a period of only 4 months. These same accurate and reliable trend analytics model will soon now allow us to clearly identify the important top that has been incorrectly called so many times by other 'experts' during the past 5 years.
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