S&P 500 Snapshot: Dithering Near The Record High On Mixed Signals
Doug Short | Nov 26, 2014 06:31AM ET
The S&P 500 traded in a bit of a confused fashion during the morning, oscillating between its 0.23% and -0.23% intraday peak and trough in the first two hours of trading. The Consumer Confidence unexpectedly dropped, probably not a welcome signal as we approach the holiday shopping season. The index then dithered through the day in a narrow range, the only drama being whether it would log its 47th record close of 2014. It did not, ending the day with a fractional -0.12% decline. But perhaps tomorrow's close will give us a rationale for an extra helping of Thanksgiving dressing on Thursday.
The yield on the U.S. 10-Year note ended the day at 2.27%, its lowest close in over a month (the 2.25% on October 22nd).
Here is a 15-minute chart of the past five sessions.
A Perspective on Drawdowns
How close was the October dip to an "official" correction, generally defined as a 10% drawdown from a high (based on daily closes)? The chart below incorporates a percent-off-high calculation to illustrate the drawdowns greater than 5% since the trough in 2009.
For a longer-term perspective, here is a pair of charts based on daily closes starting with the all-time high prior to the Great Recession.
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