Review Hybrid Grid Strategy Weeks 50 And 51

 | Dec 14, 2014 03:18AM ET

In this article I will provide my view on the EUR/CAD, USD/CAD and GBP/AUD. These are the pairs that I am currently interested in or was interested in last week for trading with the click here .
This article will provide:

    • The weekly currency chart for the analyzed pair.
    • The weekly(decision) TA chart for the analyzed pair.
    • A Technical analysis for the analyzed pair of the Daily, Weekly and Monthly chart.
    • Possible positions for the coming week and positions taken.

According to the TA Charts, the "Currency score" and the "Ranking & Rating list", all the pairs in the Top 10 of the "Ranking & Rating list" are good to trade except for EUR/AUD. These are 2 weaker currencies with a currency score difference of only 3.
There are some rules for taking positions according to the FxTaTrader Hybrid Grid Strategy. The strategy can open multiple positions of a currency pair but each currency may only be present once in the same direction in the pairs chosen for trading. It means that not all the possible positions of this coming week can be opened. For more information see Performance page on my blog for more details.

Open/pending positions of last week
EUR/CAD

This pair will be analyzed briefly, for more information read the article Review FxTaTrader Strategy Wk 47/48. Loss was made last week on 3 positions.

The pair looked interesting in the last few weeks for going short. The pull back in the last weeks offered a good opportunity. However, the pull back was stronger than expected and the stop loss on the open positions got hit. The EUR has gained strength this week and is having a Currency Score of 4 which is 1 point higher compared to last week. The CAD on the other hand got a lot weaker this week and has a Currency Score of only 2. Price got to the higher side of the range where a 50% (Fibo) level was present at 1.4310 measured from the high 1.4733 of Aug. 7 and the low 1.3882 of Nov. 23. The last short position was opened around this level. Based on the longer term view where the CAD is the better currency the probabilities were high to reach an end to the pull back and the downtrend resuming after consolidating around this 50% level. This took only 2 days and the pair broke through hitting the stop loss which was placed about 25 pips higher to avoid being hit because of only noise.

The pair looks still Bearish in the Weekly chart but in the Daily chart it looks Bullish. At this moment avoiding this pair seems the best.

Ranking and rating list Week 51
Rank: 9
Rating: +

Total outlook: Neutral

USD/CAD

This pair will be analyzed briefly, for more information read the article Review FxTaTrader Strategy Wk 48/49. Profit was made last week on 2 positions. The situation compared to the last weeks has improved and the pair looks interesting for the Hybrid Grid strategy. After the strong pull back in the weekly chart a few weeks ago the pair made a strong rebound in the last weeks. The indicators are looking fine for going long and the pair is in an uptrend.

  • In the daily chart the Ichimoku is not meeting all the conditions.
  • The MACD is in positive territory and looking strong.
  • The Parabolic SAR is long showing the preferred pattern of higher stop loss on opening of new long and short positions.
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Ranking and rating list Week 51
Rank: 5
Rating: + +

Total outlook: Up


GBP/AUD

This pair will be analyzed in more detail. The situation compared to the last weeks has improved and the pair is interesting for the Hybrid Grid strategy. The pair broke through the highs of last weeks and is clearly in an uptrend in the Daily, Weekly and Monthly charts. Profit was made last week on 1 position.

    • As can be seen in the Currency Score chart in my previous article of this weekend Forex Weekly Currency Score Wk 51, the AUD is having a score of 1 and the GBP a score of 5. With a Currency score difference of 4 and the GBP having a classification of an average performer currency while the AUD is a weaker currency it is an interesting pair in the coming week for going long.
    • The position in the Ranking and Rating list in the last weeks also shows that the pair is attractive for taking long positions. In the current list of this weekend Forex Ranking & Rating Wk 51 the pair has a rank of 6. This list is used as additional information besides the Currency score and the Technical analysis charts.
    • Besides the general information mentioned the outlook in the TA charts also makes it an attractive opportunity.


Ranking and rating list Week 51
Rank: 6
Rating: + +

Weekly Currency score: Up
Based on the currency score the pair looked interesting in the last 3 months, however not for the coming week. The NZD is an average performing currency from a longer term view and currently having a currency score of 4. The AUD is also an average performing currency from a longer term view and currently having a score of 2. Based solely on this information the pair does not look interesting for going short in the coming week.