Price Reversals from Recent Highs in Stocks
Michele Schneider | Feb 07, 2023 12:18AM ET
What if the trading range top at 4200 we have been calling for in the S&P 500 turns out as—the top?
Certainly, we can make a case for it given higher yields, a strong dollar, geopolitical stress, debt issues, government spending, and no real proof we have beaten the battle of inflation.
The table called Complete: Bear Reversal shows you a list of trades using some of our proprietary software.
This list of stocks was updated after the close.
The list ranges from stocks well underperforming to stocks that are near but could not clear 52-week highs.
We show you 3 indicators. We walk you through 1 trade on the list.
- Real Motion and Phase Change: This scanner looks for stocks that show declining momentum even if the price has yet to catch up.
- Brick refers to a 2-day pattern. Stock makes a new 60+ day high and then reverses, closing near the lows.
- Mean Reversion Plus finds short-term divergences between momentum (Real Motion) and price based on the mean-reverting tendencies of stocks.
Stryker Corp (NYSE:SYK) is in a bullish phase on both the daily and weekly charts. Since Friday, the stock had a brick pattern confirmed by Monday’s action.
After a new 60+ day high, the week began by giving the bulls an opportunity to take some profit. It also allowed day traders to sell under the lows of Friday and make money.
Note that the Real Motion indicator shows the beginnings of a mean reversion. The red squares just crossed under the dotted line or Bollinger Band.
Moreover, if that stock has topped out, traders have a risk above the 60+ day high to possibly see a move closer to $250.
h2 ETF Summary/h2- S&P 500 (SPY) Targets 420 with 390-400 support
- Russell 2000 (iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM)) 190 now support and 202 major resistance
- Dow (SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSE:DIA)) 343.50 resistance and the 6-month calendar range high
- Nasdaq (Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ)) 300 is now the pivotal area
- Regional banks (SPDR® S&P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:KRE)) 65.00 resistance
- Semiconductors (VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH)) 246 is the 23-month moving average-it failed it Monday on low volume
- Transportation (iShares Transportation Average ETF (NYSE:IYT)) The 23-month MA is 244-now resistance
- Biotechnology (iShares Biotechnology ETF (NASDAQ:IBB)) Sideways action
- Retail (SPDR® S&P Retail ETF (NYSE:XRT)) 78.00 the 23-month MA resistance and nearest support 68.00
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