Investing.com | Jun 15, 2017 06:55AM ET
by Pinchas Cohenh3 Key Events/h3
The global equity market is in retreat, led lower by banks even after they rebounded yesterday on Yellen's optimistic guidance surrounding rising inflation. Oil is another factor driving the sell-off. It's reached its lowest level since November. US futures are in retreat too, on reports that US President Donald Trump is officially under investigation for obstruction of justice.
Oil fell nearly four percent yesterday, spurred by data showing gas inventories rose by 2.1 million barrels in the week through June 9, contrary to expectations which were calling for of 457,000 barrels, as well as the International Energy Agency projecting an increase in non-OPEC production. Oil has declined almost 8 percent this month amid speculation that increasing US crude supplies will offset production curbs set in place by OPEC and its allies.
Per overwhelming consensus, the Fed raised rates yesterday by 25 basis points, its third hike in six months. They also maintained their outlook for one more rate hike this year, and even talked about starting to shrink the Fed’s monstrous $4.5 trillion balance sheet in 2017. While acknowledging the persistence of low inflation this year, Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen remains confident about reaching the Fed’s 2-percent goal and is resolved to continue tightening rates in response to falling unemployment.
Even after the rate increase, in a blatant sign that investors are more willing to put their money on hard data rather than Fed rhetoric, today’s market’s are heavily impacted by the collapse in oil, as reflected in the drop in energy, raw-materials. As well, US consumer prices excluding volatile food and fuel had the smallest YoY gain since May 2015.
The biggest drag on the Asia-Pacific market this morning was energy energy and raw-materials, as oil traded below $45 and Australian bonds followed yesterday's Treasuries rally, after the release of the US's latest disappointing inflation read.
In the US, political risk still looms as a special counsel investigating the allegations that Russia meddled in the US election is set to question two top US intelligence officials. According to three people familiar with the matter, the two will testify on whether Trump asked for their help to stop the FBI from investigating former national Security Adviser Michael Flynn.
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