NZD/USD: 6-Month Resistance Holding

 | Apr 10, 2015 05:02AM ET

h2 Talking Points h3 NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat /h3
  • Support: 0.7501, 0.7406, 0.7296
  • Resistance:0.7595, 0.7658, 0.7721

The New Zealand Dollar remains locked in a range below a falling trend line capping gains against its US counterpart since late October. Near-term resistance is at 0.7595 (38.2% Fibonacci expansion, trend line), with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 50% level at 0.7658. Alternatively, a move below trend line support at 0.7501 opens the door for a test of a horizontal pivot at 0.7406.

The available trading range is too narrow to justify entering a trade on the long or short side from a risk/reward perspective. With that in mind, we will remain flat for now, waiting for price action to offer a more compelling opportunity down the road.