NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Edging Back To Range Top

 | Aug 21, 2015 01:24AM ET

Talking Points:

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.6443, 0.6261, 0.6114
  • Resistance:0.6679, 0.6791, 0.6973

The New Zealand Dollar may be forming a double bottom against its US namesake having produced a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. A daily close above the 14.6% Fibonacci retracementat 0.6679 exposes the 23.6% level at 0.6791. Alternatively, a move below the 0.6443-97 area (23.6% expansion, July 16 low) clears the way for a challenge of the 38.2% level at 0.6261.

On balance, the overall NZD/USD trend seems to be bearish. As such, we will look at any oncoming move higher as corrective and treat it as an opportunity to establish a short position in line with the dominant longer-term trajectory. We remain flat for the time being.