NZD/USD Edges Along Channel Floor

 | Jul 06, 2015 01:51AM ET

Talking Points:

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.6647, 0.6568, 0.6458
  • Resistance:0.6704, 0.6787, 0.6923

The New Zealand dollar continues to edge lower along the bottom of a channel that has guided prices lower since April against its US counterpart. A daily close below channel floor support at 0.6647 exposes the 38.2% level at 0.6568. Alternatively, a move above the 14.6% Fib at 0.6787 clears the way for a test of the June 25 high at 0.6923.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to present itself.