Natural Gas: An Attempt To Map Unnatural Moves

 | Sep 16, 2017 12:54PM ET

Natural Gas futures price mapping is the most difficult task of the World. Natural Gas, being the most liquid commodity; may make a move against all odds all of a sudden even due to a slight change in weather despite of sufficient stock position which was its perfect guide till a few minutes later.

A sudden directional change results in a big loss most of the time rather than a handsome profit on the table. Reason is only one, whenever a trader finds, the position has come all of a sudden on the favorable side, and he prefers to book profit. No doubt, this is one of the best strategies to trade the most liquid commodity of the World. On the other hand, generally the majority of the natural gas futures price traders prefer to go without stop loss order or even without any hedge position, which is the most risky aspect of natural gas trading, needs to be adressed first of all.

A sudden sneeze during a seasonal grand party embarrasses me a lot and I have to cut a “Sorry Face” only, but I do not have this excuse when weather sneezes well all of a sudden; and forces me to book loss only. Sometimes, a dilemma prevails over my brain completely to be with Bears or to go with only Bulls, due to growing anxiety which extends the levels of my greed and fear on sudden occurrence of either side move, especially on an impending inventory announcements every week.

On or before the announcement of impending inventory, I find the presence of Bulls and the Bears inside my brain and prevail till the opening of the first trading session of the forthcoming week.

I am just attempting to predict the future moves of the most liquid commodity from September 18th, 2017 to March 26th, 2018 in a Weekly Chart. My advice for my valuable readers is only to follow what your sixth sense says rather than being dependent on anyone else. My analysis may only help you to take a decision up to the best possible extent. I will try to present the position of natural gas futures price in the same weekly chart during this period in parts from time to time.

Have a nice trading time. Good luck.

Disclosure: This content is for information and educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or an investment recommendation. Past performance is not an indication of future results. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you are prepared to lose.