Merrimack (MACK): What Awaits The Stock In Q3 Earnings?

 | Nov 07, 2016 08:25PM ET

Merrimack Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:MACK) is scheduled to report third-quarter 2016 results on Nov 9. Last quarter, Merrimack delivered a negative earnings surprise of 17.65%. Let’s see how things are shaping up for the company this quarter.

Factors Influencing the Quarter

Apart from license and collaboration fees, Merrimack’s top line comprises revenues generated by its only marketed product, Onivyde. The drug is approved in the U.S. (in Oct 2015), in combination with fluorouracil (5-FU) and leucovorin, for the treatment of metastatic adenocarcinoma of the pancreas in patients who were previously treated with Eli Lilly and Company’s (NYSE:LLY) Gemzar-based therapy.

Onivyde’s initial uptake has been encouraging. We expect the drug to contribute significantly to third-quarter revenues.

Merrimack’s efforts on commercializing Onivyde and driving awareness about the drug bode well. The company has also been engaged in visiting key institutions, educating physicians, and providing active patient and oncology practice support services.

Inclusion of the drug in the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) clinical practice guidelines in Oncology for pancreatic adenocarcinoma should accelerate patient access. Moreover, its sales to major clinical institutions are expected to increase, going ahead.

In Jul 2016, the Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) rendered a positive opinion on the approval of Onivyde. We expect the company to offer further details on the regulatory front during its third-quarter earnings call.

Meanwhile, Merrimack is working on expanding Onivyde’s label into other indications such as front-line pancreatic cancer, pediatric solid tumors and glioma. Investors are expected to remain focused on pipeline updates by the company.

Surprise History

Merrimack’s track record has been decent so far with a four-quarter average positive earnings surprise of 1.26%. The company has beaten estimates twice in the last four trailing quarters, met the same once and missed them in the remaining one quarter.

MERRIMACK PHAR Price and EPS Surprise

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