Material Sector Trade Idea Ahead Of The Fed

 | Sep 11, 2012 01:08AM ET

Here's a trade idea using the Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLB): The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in The Materials Select Sector Index. The fund invests substantially all, but at least 95% of its assets in securities comprising the index.

The index includes companies from the following industries: chemicals; metals and mining; paper & forest products; containers & packaging; and construction materials. It may invest in cash and cash equivalents or money market instruments, such as repurchase agreements and money market funds. The fund is non-diversified.

I’m looking at this play as a mean reversion type of idea in front of the Fed meeting.

  • Currently up 4 days in a row-most ETF tend to stall after 3 to 4 consecutive up days.
  • Currently 100% of the stocks within the XLB are above their 10 day moving average
  • 96% are above their 50 day moving average
  • RSI2 95.61
  • SMN is the proshares double inverse ETF