Is The Fed The Cause And Solution To The World's Problems?

 | Oct 29, 2014 06:55AM ET

In the movie Weekend at Bernie's (1989), two young insurance corporation employees, Larry and Richard, discover their boss, Bernie, is dead. They also uncover a plot in which Bernie ordered their deaths to cover up his embezzlement. The order included a provision not to kill if he's around, so Larry and Richard attempt to convince people that Bernie is still alive. Moderate hilarity ensures.

I often think of Weekend at Bernie's when a headline implying Fed responsibility for the stock market rally crosses the wire. How long can they keep dragging out the Fed (and Fed policy) as the sole driver of rising equity prices? This domestic, US centric view of the world died is long dead.

Capital, fleeing a slowing economy, oppressive taxation, the growing threat of confiscation, loss of liberty, and more, has been moving from Europe to the United States since 2009. The US media, no longer known for its independent thinking abilities, loves to position the Fed as the cause of and solution to the world's economic and financial problems. The Fed, which often uses this perception to their advantage, knows better.

Capital, regardless of Fed policy, is flowing into markets and countries with the lowest relative risk.  These flows could send trends and valuations to concentration not seen for many cycles (chart 1 and 2).