Irma Aftermath Puts These ETF Areas In Focus

The effect of the highly talked-about Hurricane Irma was weaker than feared in Florida but the level of destruction was still pretty high. The cost of the storm varies from analyst to analyst. As per AccuWeather founder , "estimated that Hurricane Harvey is to be the costliest weather disaster in U.S. history at $190 billion or one full percentage point of the GDP.”

Damage estimate caused by Irma is expected to be about $100 billion or 0.5 percentage point of total GDP. AccuWeather estimates these two disasters (Harvey and Irma) will account for about 1.5 of a percentage point of the GDP.

That said, let’s discuss the key areas that call for attention right now for profits or losses.

Gasoline: Helped by Harvey, Marred by Irma

Harvey has thumped a quarter of oil production from the Gulf of Mexico and a substantial portion of the U.S. refining capacity. CRAK gained.

However, Irma weighed on natural gas futures by UNG was off 2.7% on Sep 8 and CRAK lost 0.2%.

Agriculture ETFs to Rule Ahead?

First, Harvey washed away the largest U.S. cotton producer, drenching extra supplies stored on fields by many Texas farmers. Then Irma may ruin Florida’s farmlands, ravaging $1.2 billion worth of fresh tomatoes, oranges, green beans, squash and sugar cane. After impacting the eastern coast of Florida, Irma is expected to shift to Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina — states famous for cotton, grain and livestock, as per CNBC .

Needless to say, against this backdrop, iPath Pure Beta Livestock ETN Hurricane Irma: ETF Winners & Losers ).

Can Insurance Industry Survive the Storm?

With huge destruction in Texas and Florida, insured losses could be sky high. Property and casualty insurance companies may be hit hard as these are likely to shell out handsomely on claims in such catastrophic storms.

Florida was smashed in 1992 when Hurricane Andrew, a IAK will likely feel the brunt.

However, if rates rise in the coming days, insurance companies may get some cushion. Plus, the global reinsurance industry is oversupplied with capital. As of March, it had about a $605-billion capital, thanks to fewer enormous natural disasters in the United States since 2005, as per all Financials ETFs here).

Already, shares of property and casualty homeowners insurance companies like Universal Insurance Holdings Inc. (NYSE:UVE) and HCI Group Inc. (NYSE:HCI) added about 8.9% and 2.7% on Sep 8. Reinsurers XL Group Ltd (NYSE:XL) and Everest Re Group Ltd. (NYSE:RE) too added about 5.8% and 5%, respectively. This means that most of the sell-offs are overdone and priced in at the current level. Insurance companies’ shares are recouping losses.

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Home Retailers & Infrastructure in Sweet Spot

Rebuilding of homes and structures are necessary after a hurricane aftermath. Home Depot Inc. (NYSE:HD) and Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE:LOW) are thus in a bright spot. ETFs like Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund Home Retailer ETFs Set to Gain After Harvey ).

A Boon for Auto Sales Too?

Repurchase of cars will gain traction now on higher replacing demand for the damaged vehicles. First Trust NASDAQ Global Auto Index Fund Harvey: Pain or Gain Ahead for Auto Stocks and ETFs? )

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Written By: Zacks Investment Research