International Flavors Rides On Favorable Demand, Costs High

 | Nov 06, 2019 10:18PM ET

We issued an updated research report on International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. (NYSE:IFF) on Nov 6. The company is poised to gain from growth in global market for flavors and fragrances, acquisitions, costs and productivity initiatives, and diverse product portfolio. However, rising costs, unfavorable foreign-currency translation and huge debt levels are near-term concerns.

Poised for Better Results

For fiscal 2019, International Flavors’ sales are projected in the range of $5.15-$5.25 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 3-5%. Adjusted earnings per share are anticipated in the band of $4.85-$5.05, reflecting year-over-year growth of 8-11% in 2019. Adjusted earnings per share, excluding amortization, are projected in the band of $6.15-$6.35. The company has reaffirmed long-term financial targets for 2019-2021. On a currency neutral sales basis, it projects sales growth between 5% and 7% over the next three years and earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10%, excluding amortization.

Robust Prospects for Flavors and Fragrances Market

The global market for flavors and fragrances continues to grow, spurred by increasing demand for a variety of consumer products containing flavors and fragrances. The market is projected to grow approximately 2-3% by 2021, primarily driven by anticipated growth in emerging markets.

Consequently, International Flavors & Fragrances is focused on gaining share in emerging markets. Over the past five years, the company’s currency neutral sales growth rate in emerging markets has outpaced that of developed markets. Backed by the company’s global presence, diversified business platform, broad product portfolio, global and regional customer base, it will be able to capitalize on the expansion in flavors and fragrances markets and deliver long-term growth.

Acquisitions: A Key Catalyst

Over time, the company has made meaningful acquisitions, which have helped expand offerings and in turn profitability. Last October, the company completed the acquisition of Frutarom, the largest deal in the industry to date. Together, International Flavors & Fragrances and Frutarom created a global leader in natural taste, scent and nutrition with a broader customer base, diversified product offerings and more exposure to end markets, including those with a focus on naturals and health and wellness.

The company anticipates generating cost synergies of $145 million through 2019-2021. Synergies are expected to come from procurement, footprint optimization and streamlining of overhead expenses.
Few Headwinds

Continued geopolitical tension and uncertainties regarding trade wars and Brexit remain concerns. Also, unfavorable currency is anticipated to act as a headwind on combined sales growth.

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International Flavors & Fragrances is dealing with adverse impacts of rising costs and operating expenses. In the last five years (2014-2018), its cost of sales has witnessed a CAGR of 7% while adjusted selling, general and administrative and research and development expenses together have increased at a CAGR of 8%.

Also, the company’s debt level has gone up following the Frutarom acquisition. Higher interest expense will impact the company’s earnings.

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