Increased Risk Appetite On Fed Speculations And Eased Brexit Concerns

 | May 25, 2016 06:42AM ET

While the British pound rose on eased concerns about a potential Brexit scenario, the euro fell victim to renewed U.S. dollar strength. The greenback was supported by the shift of the market's rate hike expectations in favor of a Fed June or July hike.

Given the Fed's hawkish monetary policy stance, further dollar gains are increasingly likely in the near term.

Sterling strengthened on a poll showing the campaign to keep Britain in the EU is gaining ground. Sterling traders should be careful however, as uncertainty ahead of the referendum will dominate the price action in the cable. Although the risks of Brexit have diminished, the currency remains vulnerable to volatile swings to either side.

GBP/USD

On the upside, we expect the 1.47 resistance to be a short-term barrier for the pound. If the currency pair is able to break above 1.4665, we might see a rise towards 1.47 and 1.4715. On the downside, the 1.4550-area could lend a short-term support to the cable, while a next lower target could be at 1.45.