How To Retire Early On $500,000
Contrarian Outlook | Nov 02, 2022 05:23AM ET
$500,000 can be enough money to retire on. Even as early as age 50!
The trick is to convert the pile of cash into cash flow that can pay the bills. I’m talking about $35,000 to $40,000 per year or more in dividend income on that nest egg, thanks to 7% and 8% yields.
These are passive payouts that show up every quarter or, better yet, every month. Meanwhile, we keep that $500,000 nest egg intact. Or, better yet, grind that principal higher steadily and safely.
Got more in your retirement account? Cool—more monthly dividend income for you!
We’ll talk specific stocks, funds and yields in a moment. First things first, let’s wipe the false promises of mainstream finance from our minds.
h2 1. Forget “Buy and Hope” Investing/h2Most half-million-dollar stashes are piled into “America’s ticker” SPY. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is the most popular symbol in the land. For many 401(K)’s, this is all there is.
Sad for two reasons. First, SPY yields just 1.6%. That’s $8,000 per year on $500,000… poverty level stuff.
Second, SPY is down 18% year-to-date. That is no bueno, because that $500,000 would have been reduced to $410,000.
Less principal means less dividend income. Which is why we must protect against losses at all costs.
h2 2. Ditch 60/40, Too/h2The 60/40 portfolio has been exposed as senseless. Retirees were sold a bill of goods when promised that a 60% slice of stocks and 40% of bonds would somehow be a “safe mix” that would not drop together.
Oops.
Inflation—plus an aggressive Federal Reserve plus a (thus far) persistently steady economy—has drop-kicked both equities and fixed income. The result is that bonds have not been the haven guaranteed by the 60/40 high priests.
In a way, 2022 has been a worse dumpster fire than 2008. Granted almost everything crashed in the Financial Crisis. But US Treasuries rallied, which resulted in iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) delivering a 28% gain for calendar 2008:
h2 In 2008, Bonds Did GreatThis year, however, TLT has been tagged. Sure, it has still paid its dividend. But even including payouts, the fund is down 34% year-to-date—worse than the S&P 500. Ouch!
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When stocks and bonds are dicey, where do we turn? To a better bet. A strategy to retire on dividends alone that leaves that beautiful pile of cash untouched.
h2 3. Create a “No Withdrawal” Portfolio/h2Tom Jacobs and I wrote the book on a dividend-powered retirement. In How to Retire on Dividends: Earn a Safe 8%, Leave Your Principal Intact, we outline our “no withdrawal” approach to retirement:
- Save a bunch of money. (“Check.”)
- Buy safe dividend stocks with big yields
- Enjoy the income while keeping the original principal intact.
To make that million last, and our working life worthwhile, we really need yields in the 7% to 8% range. We typically don’t see these stocks touted on Bloomberg or CNBC, but they are around.
Of course, there are plenty of landmines in the high yield space. Some of these stocks are cheap for a reason. Which is why we need to be contrarian when looking for income.
We must identify why a yield is incorrectly allowed to be so high. (In other words, we need to figure out why the stock is priced so cheaply!)
As I write, the average yield in my 16-stock Contrarian Income Report portfolio averages 7.6%. This dividend collection is spinning off $76,000 for every million dollars invested!
And you don’t have to be a millionaire to take advantage of this strategy. A $500,000 nest egg will create $38,000 in annual income. You get the idea.
The important thing is that these yields are safe, which creates stability for the stock (and fund) prices attached to them. We want our income, with our principal intact. It’s really the only way to retire comfortably, without having to stare at stock tickers all day, every day.
Now, many blue-chip yields are safe. They just need to hit the gym and bulk up a bit. Here’s how we take perfectly good yet modest dividends and make them into braggarts.
h2 4. Supersize Those Yields/h2Mastercard (NYSE:MA) is a near-perfect dividend stock. Its payout is always climbing, up 96% over the last five years. (MA shareholders, you can thank every business that accepts Mastercard for your “pennies on every dollar” rake.)
Swipe, swipe, swipe. Remember cash? Me neither. Another 2020 casualty, with Mastercard making a few dimes or dollars on every plastic transaction.
The cashless trend has been in motion for years. But international growth prospects remain huge. Just a few years ago, 80%+ of transactions in Spain, Italy and even tech-savvy Japan were in cash. More future dividend hikes as they turn to plastic.
The only chink in MA’s armor? Everyone knows it is a dynamic dividend stock. So, it only yields 0.6%. Investors keep bidding it higher, knowing that the next dividend raise is just around the corner.
So, the compounding of those hikes makes MA a great stock for our kids and grandkids. You and I, however, don’t have the time to wait for 0.6% to grow. And $3,000 on our $500,000 nest egg simply won’t get it done.
Let’s instead consider top-notch closed-end fund (CEF) Gabelli Dividend & Income Trust (GDV), managed by legendary value investor Mario Gabelli. Mastercard is Gabelli’s second-largest holding. But we income investors would prefer GDV because it boasts a fat 6.5% dividend, paid monthly.
And today, thanks to the selloff of 2022, we have a rare opportunity to buy Mario’s portfolio for just 87 cents on the dollar. Yup, GDV trades at a 13% discount to its net asset value, or NAV. It’s a way to boost MA’s payout and snag a discount, too.
Where does this discount come from? CEFs have fixed pools of shares, so they can (and do) trade higher and lower their NAVs, or “fair” values (the value of their holdings minus any debt). As contrarians we can step in when they are temporarily out-of-favor, like after a pullback when liquidity is low, and buy them at generous discounts.
GDV holds more blue-chip dividend payers alongside MA, such as Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM). These stocks are already cheaper than a year ago, and with GDV, we have an opportunity to purchase them at a 13% discount.
These high-quality stocks wouldn’t normally qualify for our “retire on $500,000” portfolio because everyone in the world knows they are nice long-term investments. Even though these companies are constantly raising their dividends, constant demand for their shares keeps their prices high (and current yields low). So, they never meet our current yield requirement.
GDV does. The fund pays a monthly dividend that adds up to a sweet 6.5% annual yield.
But Brett, 6.5% ain’t 7.6%. Good point, so let me give you one more idea. Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Diversified Equity (EXG) is another CEF with a similar blue-chip dividend portfolio. But EXG generates even more income than GDV by selling covered calls on the shares it owns. More cash flow means a bigger dividend—and EXG pays an already terrific 10.7%!
So, we buy and hold EXG and GDV forever, collecting their monthly dividends merrily along the way? Not quite.
In bull markets, these funds are great. But in bear markets, they’ll chew you up.
h2 5. Protect That Principal!/h2My CIR readers will fondly recall the 15 months we held GDV and EXG, collecting monthly dividends plus price gains that added up to 43% total returns.
What was happening in that period from October 2020 until February 2022? The Federal Reserve was printing money like crazy. Not only did the Fed stoke inflation, but we also enjoyed an asset price lift.
Starting in 2022, we had the opposite situation. The stock market was topping, and we didn’t want to fight the Fed. We sold high, and look what has happened since:
h2 EXG and GDV: Each Down 13% Since We Cashed InMight we buy these funds back someday? Of course. When the time is right.
For whatever reason, “market timing” is a taboo phrase among long-term investors. That’s a shame because it is quite important. By aligning our dividends with the market backdrop, we can protect our principal from bear markets like we saw this year.
h2 6. Start Here to Retire on $500,000/h2“Tried and true” money advice—like the 60/40 portfolio and the 4% rule —have been properly exposed as broken. Good riddance!
I’d love to tell you more about my solution, the 8% “No Withdrawal” Retirement Portfolio. Including my favorite stocks and funds to buy right now.
Disclosure: Brett Owens and Michael Foster are contrarian income investors who look for undervalued stocks/funds across the U.S. markets. Click here to learn how to profit from their strategies in the latest report, "7 Great Dividend Growth Stocks for a Secure Retirement ."
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