Zacks Investment Research | Jul 17, 2019 09:28PM ET
Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG) is set to release second-quarter 2019 results on Jul 23, before the opening bell. In the last reported quarter, it delivered a positive earnings surprise of 19.40%. The company surpassed estimates in two of the trailing four quarters. However, it came up with average negative earnings surprise of 12.98%.
In the past three months, shares of the automotive company have underperformed the industry it belongs to. The stock has declined 12.3% compared with the industry’s 0.7% fall.
Let’s discuss the factors that are likely to make an impact on the upcoming quarterly announcement.
Factors to Influence Q2
The company intends to expand the next generation of its riders globally. By 2027, the company aims to launch 100 high impact motorcycles in a profitable and sustainable manner. In sync with its strategy to expand its portfolio, the company acquired StaCyc, Inc. in March 2019. The inclusion of this California-based company will enable Harley Davidson to enter the kids’ electric bike market. Also, to boost its production outside the United States, the company entered into an agreement with a Chinese manufacturer to produce small motorcycles for global markets.
As the company continues to inspire diverse new riders around the globe, it is also aligning its efforts toward marketing and sales support. In 2018, the company opened 56 dealerships. It continues to do so with the aim to add 150-160 dealerships internationally in the next eight years. Further, the company is improving online presence by offering merchandised products through Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN).
However, the company faces significant pressure across the global motorcycle industry. While these challenges require utmost attention and management, the company is after their long-term objectives. The company also faces higher tariff-related costs stemming from the European Union and China. This has resulted in lower production and shipments, which has reduced inventories below the company’s decided levels. These factors can hurt the company’s second-quarter results.
Harley-Davidson is likely to witness an increase in its financial services’ retail credit losses over time due to changing customer credit behavior and efforts to increase loan approvals to sub-prime borrowers.
Customers’ shifting preferences from heavy-weight motorcycles to smaller and fuel-efficient motorcycles is likely to hurt sales. Further, unfavorable mix and foreign currency translation are expected to affect second-quarter 2019 results.
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