GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY Currency Outlook: October 29, 2013

 | Oct 29, 2013 03:01AM ET

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.40; (P) 157.84; (R1) 158.12;

The break of 156.86 minor support suggests that fall from 159.52 is resuming and intraday bias is mildly on the downside. But outlook is unchanged before breakout from 154.72/159.52 range. Near term upside momentum remains very unconvincing. Hence, while above 159.52 will extend recent rally, we'd expect strong resistance below 163.05 resistance to bring larger reversal eventually. Decisive break of 154.72 will be an early sign of reversal and would turn near term outlook bearish for 147.61 support.

In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, the uptrend from 116.83 might be close to completion. Break of 147.61 will confirm medium term topping and bring correction back to 140.37 support and below. In case of another rise, we'd now expect strong resistance from 163.05 to limit upside.