GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY Currency Outlook: May 27, 2014
ActionForex | May 27, 2014 04:05AM ET
Daily Pivots: (S1) 171.48; (P) 171.64; (R1) 171.81;
The GBP/JPY recovers further today but stays in range. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook is a bit mixed. But still, price actions from 174.84 are viewed as a consolidation pattern. In case of another rise, strong resistance should be seen form 174.84 to limit upside and bring reversal. We're expecting another fall as the third leg before the consolidation pattern completes. Break of 169.80 will target 167.77 and below.
In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 (2011 low) might still extend to above 174.84. Nonetheless, upside momentum is rather unconvincing as seen in weekly MACD. Thus, even in that case, we'd expect strong resistance from 50% retracement retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 183.96 to limit upside. Meanwhile, sustained break of 163.87 support should confirm medium term topping at 174.84 and bring deeper correction to 147.61/156.77 support zone next.
Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.84; (P) 138.96; (R1) 139.21;
The consolidation from 138.13 temporary low is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral. Stronger recovery could be seen but upside is expected to be limited by 140.07 resistance and bring fall resumption. As noted before, current decline should be the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 145.68. Below 138.13 will target 136.22 support.
In the bigger picture, loss of upside momentum was seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. However, EUR/JPY is so far holding above 135.50 key support. Thus, there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. Break of 145.68 will extend the up trend from 94.11 towards 76.4% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 152.59 before topping. Meanwhile, break of 135.50 will confirm reversal and target 124.95 support.
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