GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY Currency Outlook: March 5, 2014

 | Mar 05, 2014 06:52AM ET

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 169.33; (P) 169.91; (R1) 170.88;

The GBP/JPY continues to engage in sideway trading in range below 171.88 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, ,above 171.88 will extend the rebound from 163.87 and should target 173.65/174.84 resistance zone. Considering that the cross is limited by near term falling trend line, break of 168.82 will indicate that such rebound is completed and will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 163.87 instead.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 (2011 low) might still extend to above 174.84. Nonetheless, upside momentum is rather unconvincing as seen in weekly MACD. Thus, even in that case, we'd expect strong resistance from 50% retracement retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 183.96 to limit upside. Meanwhile, sustained break 163.87 support should confirm medium term topping at 174.84 and bring deeper decline to 147.61/156.77 support zone next.