GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY Currency Outlook: July 29, 2014

 | Jul 29, 2014 02:59AM ET

h3 GBP/JPY

Daily Pivots: (S1) 172.79; (P) 172.93; (R1) 173.12;

The GBP/JPY continues to stay in right range above 172.36 support and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, sustained break of 172.36 support will confirm near term reversal and will turn outlook bearish for 170.95 support next. On the upside, break of 174.54 will suggest that the consolidation from 175.36 might have finished and will turn bias back to the upside for 175.36 and above.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 (2011 low) continued to lose upside momentum. This could be seen in bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. And, weekly MACD continued to trend down. There is no clear sign of reversal yet but a medium term top should be near. So, in case of another rise, we'd expect strong resistance below 50% retracement retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 183.96 to bring reversal. Meanwhile, sustained break of 169.53 support should confirm medium term topping and turn outlook bearish.