Gold: Falls Away From Key $1200 Level
MarketPulse | Apr 27, 2015 01:24AM ET
Gold for Monday, April 27, 2015
To start this new week gold is trying to rally higher and regain lost ground from the end of last week which saw it drop to near $1175. It is presently enjoying some support from $1180. In the last couple of weeks, gold has traded in a narrow range right around the key $1200 level and this range had been getting tighter, although to close out last week it drifted lower and fell to a one month low. Gold has had an attraction to the key $1200 level as every time it ventures away it returns quickly to trade right around it so it will be interesting to see if this happens again. Several weeks ago gold sprung to life surging higher away from the key $1200 level back to a seven week high above $1220 before easing back and finding some support at the key $1200 level. Back at end of March gold eased a little for a few days to below $1185, although for the best part of the last few weeks gold has moved strongly off the support at $1150 and then found some new support from the $1200 level.
Throughout the second half of February gold enjoyed rock solid support from the key $1200 level which held it up on numerous occasions. For about a month gold drifted steadily lower down to a one month low near the key $1200 level before finding the solid support at this key level. At the beginning of December gold eased lower away from the resistance level at $1240 yet again back down to below $1200. During the second half of November gold made repeated runs at the resistance level at $1200 failing every time, before finally breaking through strongly. Throughout the first half of November gold enjoyed a strong resurgence back to the key $1200 level where it has met stiff resistance up until recently.
Throughout the second half of October gold fell very strongly and resumed the medium term down trend falling from above $1250 back down through the key $1240 level, down below $1200 to a multi year low near $1130. It spent a few days consolidating around $1160 after the strong fall which has allowed it to rally higher in the last couple of weeks. Earlier in October gold ran into the previous key level at $1240, however it also managed to surge higher to a five week high at $1255. In late August Gold enjoyed a resurgence as it moved strongly higher off the support level at $1275, however it then ran into resistance at $1290. In the week prior, gold had been falling lower back towards the medium term support level at $1290 however to finish out last week it fell sharply down to the previous key level at $1275.
Gold hit its lowest level in more than a month on Friday, falling for the third straight week as strength in global equities diverted interest from the precious metal, although uncertainty over the timing of a U.S. rate rise kept prices in a tight range. Spot gold was down 1.4 percent at $1,177.03 an ounce, while U.S. gold futures for June delivery settled down $19.30 an ounce at $1,175. That marked spot gold’s largest single-session decline since March 6. Spot prices are down 2.2 percent this week, their biggest weekly loss in seven weeks. World stocks hit all-time highs on Friday as corporate updates in Europe and a post-dotcom-boom peak for the U.S. Nasdaq stoked investor optimism. “That takes investment demand away from gold,” said Bill O’Neill, co-founder of commodities investment firm LOGIC Advisors in Upper Saddle River, New Jersey. O’Neill noted that significant funds were flowing toward European and Japanese equities as well, which he called the “flavor of the moment.”
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Gold April 27 at 00:45 GMT 1180.1 H: 1196.1 L: 1175.3
Gold Technical
| S3 | S2 | S1 | R1 | R2 | R3 |
| 1180 | 1150 | — | 1240 | 1300 | — |
During the early hours of the Asian trading session on Monday, Gold is trying to rally higher and regain lost ground from the end of last week which saw it drop to near $1175. Current range: trading above $1180.
Further levels in both directions:
• Below: 1180 and 1150.
• Above: 1240 and 1300.
OANDA’s Open Position Ratios
(Shows the ratio of long vs. short positions held for Gold among all OANDA clients. The left percentage (blue) shows long positions; the right percentage (orange) shows short positions.)
The long position ratio for Gold has moved back to near 70% as it has fallen through the key $1200 level back to near $1180. The trader sentiment is in favour of long positions.
Economic Releases
- 23:50 (Sun) JP Large Retailers Sales (Mar)
- 23:50 (Sun) JP Retail Sales (Mar)
- 10:00 UK CBI Industrial Trends (Apr)
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