Gold Rises Ahead Of U.S. Presidential Election

 | Nov 03, 2016 05:39AM ET


Gold Rises Ahead Of U.S. Presidential Election

  • Gold rose on Wednesday, shrugging off signals from the Federal Reserve that it could hike interest rates next month, as uncertainty over the outcome of the U.S. presidential election hurt the dollar and upheld the safe-haven demand for bullion.
  • Narrowing polls have led markets to price in more risk that Republican Donald Trump might defeat his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in next week's contentious U.S. presidential election, perhaps remembering the turmoil that followed the surprise Brexit vote.
  • Nonfarm payrolls data on Friday and U.S. election on Tuesday may provide plenty of volatility. But we think that event weaker-than-expected jobs report will not change the idea of Fed hike in December.
  • Gold recovery was stopped near 50% fibo of July-October fall. However, 7- and 14-day ema are positively aligned, which highlights the overall bullish structure. The next target for XAU/USD bulls will be 1320.00 in the daily cloud from September, just below 61.8% fibo of July-October drop.