GBP/JPY Near-Term Resistance At 173.96

 | Jul 31, 2014 02:39AM ET

Talking Points:

  • GBP/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 173.44, 172.59, 171.75
  • Resistance: 173.96, 174.82, 175.35-50

The British pound launched a recovery against the Japanese yen having found support below the 173.00 figure. Near-term resistance is at 173.96, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% level at 174.82. Alternatively, a reversal back below the 14.6% Fib at 173.44 opens the door for a challenge of the door for a challenge of the July 23 low at 173.59.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices trading in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now.