FX Futures Edge:World Markets Trading On Reduced Volume Levels

 | May 23, 2013 03:34AM ET

FORECAST:
STOCKS:

The world economy is weakening: the US payroll tax increase and “sequestration” are pressuring the US economy; China is being pressured by Japan, and has “dampened” their housing market. However, the Eurozone is seriously contemplating loosening up their austerity plans. For now, although we feel that risk is being mispriced at current levels given recent pressure upon world economic figures and the developing pressure upon corporate margins/ earnings — the consensus is that the
world’s central banks will save the day.

STRATEGY: The S&P 500 remains above the 160-wma long-term support level at 1311; and the standard 200-dma support level at 1478. But perhaps more importantly, the distance above the 160-wma has grown to +27%...which now means that a “bubble-like” rally is developing, and we can see sharp gains such as 1987 and 1995-1996. Hold your nose!