FX Daily Update

 | Oct 26, 2016 09:04AM ET

Russians say “Nyet” to oil output cut!

The perspective of a key rate increase from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) as soon as December is favourable to the U.S. dollar, which has gained ground in October against all G10 currencies. The pound sterling is down 6% so far in October and 18% since the Brexit vote held on June 23.

It is worth remembering that financial markets had a rough time after the key rate increase in December 2015. The forecast for several bellwether rate increases in 2016 from the Fed weighed down the price of crude oil, stock markets and currencies from emerging nations. Between December 16, 2015 and February 11, 2016, the S&P500 dropped more than 10% while there was a 30% plunge in oil prices (WTI).

This morning, WTI is down 2% as Russia is now saying openly that an oil production cut is not foreseeable. This is weighing down our dollar, which is losing ground against the euro and the greenback. Today, we’ll be keeping an eye on U.S. Crude Oil Inventories at 10:30. A great deal of volatility can therefore be expected this morning.