FX Daily Report: Caution Spent On USD Longs - March 21, 2013

 | Mar 21, 2013 01:46AM ET

Market Commentary

The Dollar Index (DX) is approaching first medium term resistance of 83.40 ranges to currently trade at 83.00 ranges. Alhough the short term trend is intact, with DX looking stretched, caution is spent on USD longs.

Unable to close below 81.90, the USD Dollar Index (DX) seems to reinitiate its bull trend with 83.40 and 84.20 acting as formidable resistances. Dow Industrials (DJIA) is trading consistently beyond all time 2007 historic high of 14200- 14300, indicating a new rally is under progress. Only a monthly close below 13700 would force us to rethink.

Historic correlation between DX Vs DJIA suggests the long-term trend is still dollar bearish, until the Dollar Index doesn't close above 84.50 on monthly basis. Short and medium term trends are bullish.