FX Daily Report: April 29, 2013

 | Apr 29, 2013 04:33AM ET

Market Commentary

The Dollar Index (DX) is trading near 82.40, midway of the medium term trend range bound between 83.40 and 81.80 formed during last couple of months. The bias is negative. Historic correlation between the bench mark equity index of Dow Jones Industrials (DJIA) and DX suggests negative bias is still prevailing for the U.S. Dollar.

Dow Industrials (DJIA) is trading consistently beyond all time high of 14200-14300, a historic high made during October 2007. This indicates a new rally is under progress, but the momentum has run out of gas at 14800 ranges. Only a monthly close below 13700 would force us to rethink the bull trend.

The historic DX Vs DJIA correlation suggests the long-term trend is still Dollar bearish, but only while the Dollar Index doesn't close above 84.50 on a monthly basis. The short and medium term trends are bullish.