Strong European Data Should Nudge The ECB Toward A Tighening Bias

 | May 23, 2017 05:34AM ET

European data that is flowing in, is robust, as reflects economies across the region that are growing at a rate that requires less stimulus. With the ECB scheduled to meet in June, it will become difficult for the doves to hold on to an easing bias . In fact, keeping the tone neutral will be rejected by many of the hawks such as the Bundesbanks Weidman, who will likely be anxious to put in a tightening bias to depress future inflation.

EUR/USD

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The EUR/USD[i] moved higher as stronger than expected data kept the currency pair buoyed despite a round of profit taking that capped the exchange rate. Resistance is seen near the November 8, highs at 1.1299. Additional resistance is seen near the August highs at 1.1365. Support is seen near the 10-day moving average at 1.1067. Momentum remains robust as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) index prints in the black with an upward sloping trajectory on the MACD histogram which points to a higher currency pair.

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