FOMC Minutes Set Tone On Wednesday

 | Oct 11, 2017 02:12AM ET

Monetary policy will likely dictate the financial markets on Wednesday, as the Federal Reserve gets set to unveil the minutes of last month’s policy meeting. There’s not a lot of action expected leading up to the Fed minutes. In Europe, Spain will release final September inflation data at 07:00 GMT. The harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP) is forecast to rise 1.9% annually in September.


Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans is scheduled to deliver a speech at 11:15 GMT, about an hour before US markets officially open.


Investors will then turn their attention to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, which are due for release at 18:00 GMT. The US central bank kept interest rates on hold last month, but chose October as the start of the “great unwind.” The Fed will begin reducing its balance sheet this month at a rate of $10 billion. At that rate, it’ll take years just to see the balance sheet cut in half from the current level of around $4.5 trillion.

The FOMC has just two meetings left this year. Investors are pricing one more interest rate increase before the end of 2017. Shortly after the FOMC minutes, European Central Bank (ECB) board member Peter Praet is set to deliver a speech. Commodity traders will also be monitoring weekly crude inventory data courtesy of the American Petroleum Institute (API). The official inventory report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be released Thursday morning, which is one day later than its usual release schedule.

EUR/USD

The euro gained ground on Tuesday, returning above 1.18 US amid geopolitical crisis in Catalonia. The EUR/USD exchange rate nudged higher in overnight trade to reach 1.1830. All eyes will be on the ECB in the coming months as policymakers attempt to pour cold water on the euro rally. The ECB is expected to announce the fate of its quantitative easing program this month.