EUR/USD: Starts Week Up; USD/CAD: Dips

 | Apr 05, 2021 04:28AM ET

EUR/USD sees a good recovery from the most support for last week at 1.1700/1.1690 to 1.1785. We could be forming an inverse head and shoulders on the 1 hour chart with neck line at 1.1780/90.

USD/CAD dipped as far as 1.2527 and held first resistance at 1.2580/90.

h2 Today’s Analysis/h2

EUR/USD's break above a small inverse head and shoulders neck line at 1.1780/90 is positive for today and can target 1.1820/30, perhaps as far as 1.1850/60 this week.

Minor support at 1.1750/40 (and we bottomed exactly here on Friday). Best support at 1.1710/1.1690 (where we watch for a double bottom bullish pattern). However a break below 1.1675 is likely to trigger further losses to 1.1640/30 and perhaps as far as 1.1610/00.

USD/CAD retraces about 40% of the recent recovery to hit 1.2527. First resistance at 1.2580/90. A break higher can target last week’s high at 1.2635/45. A break above 1.2650 targets first resistance at 1.2685/95. Bulls then need a break above 1.2700 to trigger further gains.

First support at 1.2540/30 could hold the downside. Below 1.2520 however targets 1.2500/1.2480. Below 1.2460 risks a slide to to 1.2430/20 before a retest of the March low at 1.2370/60.