EUR/USD: Long Term Outlook
Karsten Kagels | May 03, 2021 01:53AM ET
The Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate is one of the world’s most traded currency pairings.
The charts used are from FXCM .
EUR/USD is moving still in a correction from the January high. From the low at the end of March, the price could recover but was rejected from resitance at around the 2018 March low.
Resistance Levels: 1.2154 | 1.2349 | 1.2555
Support Levels: 1.2011 | 1.1952 | 1.1876
The daily chart shows short-term strength but reversed at the resistance around 1.2100. After the recent upward movement, a correction is not unusual as part of the regular trend behavior. If the nearby supports hold, there could be another run to the 1.2100 level.
Conversely, a break below the 1.1900 area would put the March low in distress.
h2 Recovery in the weekly chart discovers resistance around 1,2150/h2As a result of a progressive correction from the 2021 high, the EUR/USD fell to a local low at 1.1704. In the last few weeks, the price recovered up above the mark of the September 2020 high, but was rejected from the 1.2100 levels.
Resistance: 1.2243 | 1.2349 | 1.2555
Support: 1.2011 | 1.1876 | 1.1704
On the weekly chart the focus is now on the current level of resistance at the 1.2100 price mark. As long as the support at around 1.1900 lasts, expectations remain positive. A drop below March low at 1.1704 could turn the neutral to positive outlook into negative.
h2 Monthly chart within the range of the previous candle/h2Euro-Dollar forex pair shows a weak candlestick in March dropping below 1.1800 price levels. April was able to recover the losses and is now quoted above 1,2000.
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Resistance Levels: 1.2150 | 1.2349 | 1.2555
Support: Levels: 1.1876 | 1.1569
The monthly chart of EUR/USD shows new strength. A return above the April high at 1.2150 could turn the neutral outlook positive again. A drop below the 2019 high at 1.1569 would flip the neutral chart picture to negative.
h2 Quarterly Chart shows upside potential/h2Euro-Dollar forex pair is moving in the range of the previous candlestick at prices around 1.2016.
Resistance Levels: 1.2555
Support Levels: 1.1876 | 1.1569
The quarterly chart of EUR/USD looks positive after breaking above the long term resistance line. A correction within the price range of the previous candle is underway, which may lead to sideways action. A drop below the 2019 high at 1.1569 could turn the neutral chart picture to negative.
h2 Yearly chart (Historical chart)/h2If we look at the yearly chart of the EUR/USD currency pair, we see a long-term downtrend that originated at the 2008 high at 1.6038. This could be terminated, because in the last six years EUR/USD is moving sideways in a big trading range. The long term uptrend line is mayor support which was successfully tested with the 2020 low.
Resistance Levels: 1.2555
Support Levels: 1.1876 | 1.1570
The yearly chart of EUR/USD looks neutral to slightly positive with strong support at 1.1570 (2019 high). We expect to see sideways action below the 2018 high at 1.2555.
*This price prediction is based on the data collected from various sources. This should not be considered as an investing parameter and user should do their own research before investing.
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