MarketPulse | Dec 12, 2017 05:55AM ET
It’s been a quiet start to the week for the euro. In the Tuesday session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1774, up 0.04% on the day. In economic news, German ZEW Economic Sentiment slowed to 17.4, short of the estimate of 17.9 points. Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment also softened, with a reading of 29.0. This was short of the 30.2 points. Later in the day, ECB President Mario Draghi speaks at an event in Frankfurt. The US will release PPI, an important inflation indicator. On Wednesday, Germany and the US release CPI reports. As well, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates to a range between 1.25% to 1.50%.
The well-respected ZEW Economic Sentiment indicator, a confidence barometer of institutional investors, slowed in December, in both Germany and the eurozone. Still, the readings point to optimism – Germany’s economy continues to look sharp, and this had led the way for the eurozone, which has enjoyed solid growth in 2017. Still, investors have to keep an eye on political developments as well, and there are some worrisome developments. Germany still remains without a government, and uncertainty over Brexit continues to hover over the European Union. The euro has shrugged off the soft ZEW readings, showing little change in the Tuesday session.
The markets are expecting a quarter-point rate hike from the Fed later on Wednesday. Even though this move has been priced in, rate hikes tend to trigger a surge of confidence among investors, and also makes the US dollar more attractive against its rivals. Traders should therefore be prepared for the US dollar to record gains after the rate announcement. Another rate hike is expected in January, with fed futures pricing a rate hike at 87%. The Fed has hinted that it could raise rates up to three times in 2018, and this upward movement in rates will likely propel the US dollar upwards.
EUR/USD Fundamentals
Tuesday (December 12)
Wednesday (December 13)
*All release times are GMT
*Key events are in bold
EUR/USD for Tuesday, December 12, 2017
EUR/USD for December 12 at 12:30 EDT
Open: 1.1769 High: 1.1792 Low: 1.1764 Close: 1.1774
EUR/USD Technical
S1 | S2 | S1 | R1 | R2 | R3 |
1.1434 | 1.1574 | 1.1657 | 1.1777 | 1.1876 | 1.1961 |
EUR/USD has posted small gains in the Asian and European sessions
Further levels in both directions:
OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio
EUR/USD is unchanged in the Tuesday session. Currently, short positions have a majority (54%), indicative of EUR/USD reversing directions and moving downwards.
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