EUR/USD: Selling Rallies Under 1.2800

 | Sep 30, 2014 02:27AM ET

EUR/USD Daily Analysis:

EUR/USD continued downward Friday in line with our bearish forecast, hitting new lows at 1.2663, begging the age old trader’s question: how long can this trend continue? Technically we are sitting at two-year lows in a strong downtrend, with not much in the way below us toward 1.26/1.25 if we do see continued selling. Big money remains long on the USD and short the euro, and big money is usually right, so continued selling seems to be the path of least resistance, at least until NFP this Friday.

In that light we will continue looking to sell under the 10-day moving average, currently at 1.2790.